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Friday, June 10, 2005

The Aaron Sele DGS Update 

Fueled by the continued success of Aaron Sele, the Mariners have now won 8 of their last 11. Mr. Sele has won 3 of 4 including two shutouts!

So lets take this opportunity to update the Mariner "Darned Good Starts", which I last updated through May 12th. Since then, the M's have gone 13-11 and are providing us with some hope that they can still contend in 2005.

Pitcher (Darned Good / Quality / Ugly, 
M's record DGS , M's record QS, M's record US)
Jamie Moyer (8/6/4, 6-2, 4-2, 1-3)
Aaron Sele (8/6/4, 6-2, 5-1, 0-4)
Ryan Franklin (7/6/4, 3-4, 3-3, 0-4)
Gil Meche (7/5/5, 5-2, 4-1, 0-5)
Joel Pineiro (5/1/4, 3-2, 0-1, 2-2)
Other (0/0/2, 0-0, 0-0, 0-2)
Mariner Total (35/24/23, 23-12, 16-8, 3-20)
Since the last update, 9 of our 24 starts have been Ugly (2 each from Franklin, Meche and Pineiro), but finally the M's have won an Ugly start, going 3-6 when the M's starter implodes.

Moyer, Sele, and Franklin are holding the staff together, getting two good starts for every ugly one, while Pineiro and Meche seem to alternate between good and ugly starts. At least Good Meche is Quality Meche. Joel Pineiro has gone more than 6 innings and allowed less than three runs just once in nine tries this season.

But the offense at least seems to show up for Mr. Pineiro, as the M's have won 2 of his 4 Ugly Starts, while they have won only 3 of 7 Ryan Franklin Darned Good Starts.

Interestingly, the M's win at the same rate whether it is a Quality Start (.667) or a Darned Good Start (.657). However, my definition of an Ugly Start (3-20, .130) seems more predictive than a non-Quality Start (10-24, .298)

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