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Thursday, March 31, 2005

Diamond Mind Sees Tight Race in AL West 

Diamond Mind just put out its 2005 projected standings.

Using their projections for the MLB universe in 2005, the Diamond Mind team simulated the 2005 season 100 times. In that simulation, the Mariners won the AL West 25 times, with the A's winning 31 times and the Angels 29 times.

Given 100 runs, here were the average results...

AL West         W   L   Pct  GB   RF   RA  #DIV   #WC
Oakland 85 77 .525 - 873 817 31.0 1.0
Los Angeles 84 78 .519 1 803 775 29.0 2.5
Seattle 83 79 .512 2 795 778 25.0 2.0
Texas 80 82 .494 5 852 875 15.0 1.5
Unlike most pundits who dismiss the Mariners because of their 99 loss season in 2004, Diamond Mind takes a more objective view of the Mariners talent and finds it comparable with the rest of the division.

And a 4-team dogfight to the finish looks to be the order of things. In that case, I'll give the edge to the Mariners and new manager Mike Hargrove.

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